
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if marginfi launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the marginfi team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Drift launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Drift Protocol team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamino launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Kamino Finance team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tensor launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Tensor team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:11:44 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.