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Sharjah announces secession from UAE by...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$150.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 31, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
May 8ClosedMarket odds0%
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 31, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.3¢ / 0.7¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.