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Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Choose a market to analyze 3 eligible questions · Evidence required
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$5.8K
Liquidity$26K
Event end date · UTCOct 25, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<58%Accepting ordersMarket odds7.5%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?
Yes7.5%Polymarket estimate
No92.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $20.3K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 25, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 5.0¢ / 10.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).