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Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$637.5
Total volume$6.2K
Liquidity$41.2K
Event end date · UTCOct 25, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<35%Accepting ordersMarket odds2.9%
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes2.9%Polymarket estimate
No97.2%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $10.9K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 25, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.4¢ / 4.3¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid vote won by the electoral list “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named electoral list. Votes attributed to another list or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).