SBF reduced sentence because autism?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$184.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 28, 2024

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

SBF reduced sentence because autism?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 28, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague references to medical or psychiatric disorders will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". If sentencing doesn't occur in 2024, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.