
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Hyde (https://x.com/wigger) places a sports bet between April 8 and April 11, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Sam Hyde's first announcement that he has placed a sports bet regardless of whether he later claims it was satire, or false. The resolution source will be official announcements/posts Sam Hyde including on X (@wigger) and IG (@snl).
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:09:12 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
A research report should explain the odds, challenge the thesis, and show what could change the answer.
This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.