Loading your workspace…
All markets
Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$64.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On June 17, Ryan Selkis posted a tweet suggesting that Garry Gensler ordered a political hit on him (see: https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1802719512241770625). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ryan Selkis (@twobitidiot) is arrested between June 16 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Ryan Selkis and information from Selkis's legal representatives will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:57:38 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.