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Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$5.5M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 4, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
George SimionClosedMarket odds100%
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round. The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Simion receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).