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Romania Presidential Election 1st round 2nd place?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$764.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 4, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Crin AntonescuClosedMarket odds0%
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 4, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the second greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).