
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or endorses Trump for President of the United States during his Friday address. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. does not give a public address on August 23, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorses Trump before his public address and then reiterates his support during his address, this will qualify. However, endorsements directly before or after the address will not qualify alone - he must mention his support of Trump during the address. The resolution source for this market will be live footage of the address or official information from RFK Jr. and his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:00:39 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.