
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Scott wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kari Lake wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:22:02 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.