Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$40.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 13, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

Up100%Polymarket estimate

Down0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 13, 2026
Up bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

As of market creation, the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market in the event 'Which party will win the House in 2026?' (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced at 19¢. This market will resolve to “Up” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market in the event 'Which party will win the House in 2026?' (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced higher than 19¢ for a majority of minutes during the one-hour period between 3:00 and 3:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/republican-house-odds-up-or-down-this-week or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the one-hour window. This will display a one-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.