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RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$12.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 17, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Friday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 17, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:33:19 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.