Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory

Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?

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Resolution rules

The 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election will be held on Monday, 8 September 2025, to elect members of the 171-seat Storting (Norway’s parliament). This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Storting between the Red Bloc and the Blue Bloc as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election (e.g. Red Bloc controls 90, Blue Bloc controls 70, difference = 20). If the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The blue bloc in Norway refers to the following four parties—Conservative (H), Progress (FrP), Liberal (V), and Christian Democratic (KrF). The red bloc in Norway refers to the following five parties—Labour (Ap), Socialist Left (SV), Red (R), Centre (Sp), and the Green Party (MDG). This market's resolution will be based on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).