
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for April 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for April 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for April 2025 (FYTD) by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:19:31 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.