Loading your workspace…
All markets
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$4.3K
Liquidity$1.1K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds7.5%
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?
Yes7.5%Polymarket estimate
No92.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 7.0¢ / 8.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Get the Foretrace AI forecast
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referenced Reckless Ben, otherwise known as Ben Schneider, serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government authorities, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:06:42 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.