
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn Dec 12, Rainbow Wallet announced "Rainbow Points — the first step towards including our community in the future success of Rainbow" (see https://twitter.com/rainbowdotme/status/1734700911719555580). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 11, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:21:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.