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Quebec General Election: Turnout
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$50
Total volume$2K
Liquidity$5.2K
Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<58%Accepting ordersMarket odds4.9%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be less than 58%?
Yes4.9%Polymarket estimate
No95.2%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1.4K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 6, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.7¢ / 9.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).