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AI-powered forecasts for Polymarket. Compare probabilities, review the evidence, and understand the price.

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Trading takes place on Polymarket.

AI estimates and market prices are not guarantees.
Review the evidence and uncertainty before deciding.

Pump.fun market cap (FDV) above... one day after launch? | Foretrace

World & cultureClosed

Pump.fun market cap (FDV) above... one day after launch?

View on Polymarket

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$2M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNot specified

Price history

Market probability

Chart outcomes

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

5 markets

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

>$3BOrders pausedMarket odds—

archPump.fun >$3B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Yes—Polymarket estimate

No—Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Not specified
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Pump.fun market cap (FDV) above... one day after launch?

>$8BClosedMarket odds0%

Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Yes

0%

Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Not specified
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.3¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pump.fun's token is greater than $8,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pump.fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$4BClosedMarket odds100%

Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pump.fun's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pump.fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$5BClosedMarket odds100%

Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.4¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pump.fun's token is greater than $5,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pump.fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$10BClosedMarket odds0%

Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pump.fun's token is greater than $10,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pump.fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:32:00 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.

Your AI research brief

Evidence first.
Then a decision.

A research report should explain the odds, challenge the thesis, and show what could change the answer.

Evidence for and against
Probability versus entry price
Clear evidence timestamps

Market odds From Polymarket AI forecast Foretrace estimate Yes Outcome No Outcome

RESEARCH BETA

This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.

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