Loading your workspace…
All markets
Popular Vote Winner 2024
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$628.2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Donald TrumpClosedMarket odds100%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.