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Polish Presidential Elections: Cities
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$25.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
WarsawClosedMarket odds100%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Warsaw?
Trzaskowski100%Polymarket estimate
Nawrocki0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 1, 2025
- Trzaskowski bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw. If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl