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Poland Presidential Election
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$129M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
19 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Karol NawrockiClosedMarket odds100%
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 18, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Presidential elections will be held in Poland in May, 2025. If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, a second round will be held. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karol Nawrocki wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the winner of the election from the Polish government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW) (https://www.pkw.gov.pl/).