
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, in any jurisdiction, any law enforcement or legal authority formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Peter Mandelson, the former member of the British House of Lords, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government, law enforcement, and legal entities; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:25:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.