Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

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24h volume$92.3

Total volume$17.8K

Liquidity$17.7K

Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds3%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Yes3%Polymarket estimate

No97.1%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $17.7K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 2.5¢ / 3.4¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.