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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
24h volume$3.3K
Total volume$486.3K
Liquidity$39.7K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting orders21.5%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes21.5%
No78.5%
- Liquidity
- $39.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 21.0¢ / 22.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Within research coverage.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:08:32 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.