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Pernambuco Governor Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 12 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$7K
Total volume$104.5K
Liquidity$180.8K
Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
João CamposAccepting ordersMarket odds51%
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
Yes51%Polymarket estimate
No49%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $57.5K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 5, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 50.0¢ / 52.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).