
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Palestine or any Palestinian territories are admitted into the UN as an official Member State by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'Member State' refers to a state with full United Nations membership and voting rights, excluding observer states and non-member entities. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations, however a consensus of credible resources will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:50:46 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.