
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to the runner who has a better marathon time relative to their goal in the 2024 TCS London Marathon. Packy McCormick's goal time is 2:57. Harry Stebbings's goal time is 3:20. For example, if Packy got 2:55 and Harry got 3:15, the market would resolve to "Harry" since he beat his goal by 5 minutes whereas Packy only beat his goal by 2 minutes. If the 2024 TCS London Marathon is cancelled or delayed until after October 31 2024 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If one runner announces they will not participate, this market will resolve to the other runner.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:16:00 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.