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Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$31.5K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 24, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 24, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are over 500 confirmed employee resignations from OpenAI by Nov 24, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A resignation is defined as a voluntary departure from a current position within the organization. Confirmation must come from official OpenAI announcements, credible news reporting, or direct statements from the individuals involved. This market may stay open past the deadline until is unambiguous as to whether the number of resignations before the end date was over/under 500.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:36:25 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.