
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn Jan 10 Bloomberg Intelligence predicted there would be over $4 billion of inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on the first day of trading (https://x.com/BBGIntelligence/status/1745187694928376233). This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are $4 billion or more of combined inflows into bitcoin spot ETFs on their first day of trading. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources. This market may stay open until the value of inflows is known.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:43:08 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.