
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI integrates agentic taker fees or another form of a transaction-based commission model into ChatGPT, GPT-4, GPT-4.1, GPT-5, or any successor general-purpose GPT model made publicly available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying commission models include agentic taker fees, marketplace transaction fees, referral and affiliate fees, etc. Limited releases restricted to a specific region, model, or user group will qualify. The release must be publicly announced as accessible to the relevant users. Closed betas or fully private testing do not count. Once implemented, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of whether the integration is later removed. An announcement will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"; only the release of a qualifying commission model integration will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:33:41 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.