Loading your workspace…
All markets
# of times JD Vance claps at State of the Union?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$560K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 24, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
10 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<20ClosedMarket odds0%
Will JD Vance clap fewer than 20 times during the State of the Union?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to the number of times JD Vance stands and claps during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026. Only instances in which JD Vance clearly stands up and visibly claps his hands together will qualify. Applause while seated will NOT count. Standing without clapping will NOT count. Clapping while partially rising but not fully standing will NOT count. Each discrete standing instance will count as one occurrence, regardless of the duration of the applause during that standing period. If JD Vance sits down and later stands again to clap, this will count as a new occurrence. Only clapping that occurs between the moment Donald Trump reaches the podium and the moment he leaves the podium will qualify. Applause before he reaches the podium or after he departs will NOT count. If JD Vance is not present for the address, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the official C-SPAN video feed of the address.