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# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$395K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<10ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Kai and Speed have less than 10 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).