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# of GOP seats in House of Representatives
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$45M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 17, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
218 or FewerClosedMarket odds0%
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 17, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections 218 or fewer of voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press. This market will resolve once the Associated Press has conclusively called all House elections.