
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if J.D. Vance and Tim Walz engage in 0 live, publicly-broadcast debates between August 14 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if J.D. Vance and Tim Walz engage in exactly 1 live, publicly-broadcast debate between August 14 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if J.D. Vance and Tim Walz engage in 2 or more live, publicly-broadcast debates between August 14 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such debates, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:07:23 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.