Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Feb 20, 2026

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market in the Event 'US strikes Iran by...?' (https://polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 PM and 12:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-over-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant one-hour window. This will display the one-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com