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Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$110.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
>30%ClosedMarket odds100%
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.