Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Jan 16, 2026

Yes bid / ask

— / 0.1¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 2-hour period between 12:00 PM and 1:59 PM ET on January 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant two-hour window. This will display the two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com