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Oakland Mayoral Election
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 18 open questions · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.7K
Liquidity$39.8K
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
18 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Brenda GrishamAccepting ordersMarket odds5.5%
Will Brenda Grisham win the Oakland Mayor election?
Yes5.5%Polymarket estimate
No94.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $20.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 4.0¢ / 7.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
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Resolution rules
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.