Loading your workspace…
All markets
NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 11 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$1.8K
Total volume$4.1K
Liquidity$2K
Event end date · UTCOct 9, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
11 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<20Accepting ordersMarket odds2.2%
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Yes2.2%Polymarket estimate
No97.9%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $167
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 9, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.4¢ / 3.9¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Get the Foretrace AI forecast
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 2, 12:00 PM ET and October 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.