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How research worksFollowing the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican. This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip). If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50. Determination of whether Suozzi won by over 5% will be based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:30:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.