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NY-19 election: Riley (D) vs. Molinaro (R)
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.2K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
NY-19 election: Riley (D) vs. Molinaro (R)
Riley100%Polymarket estimate
Molinaro0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Riley bid / ask
- 95.1¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Riley" if Democrat Josh Riley wins the congressional election in New York's 19th district. This market will resolve to "Molinaro" if Republican Marcus Molinaro wins the congressional election in New York's 19th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:36:05 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.