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Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$20.6
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNot specified
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
≤4.8%ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Brazil’s unemployment rate for November–January 2026 be less than or equal to 4.8%?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the Brazilian unemployment rate reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) in the monthly Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNAD) for the period of November 2025-January 2026 (quarter ending in January 2026). The resolution source for this market is the Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNAD) release (monthly dissemination), published by the IBGE every month at https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 5, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.