
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Israel strikes Iran - Israel withdraws from Gaza - Syria strikes Israel - Israel and Lebanon normalize relations - Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled - Israel x Turkey military clash Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Israel+Edition.pdf
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:18:00 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.