
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea -Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense -Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey -Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:25:47 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.