
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:08:28 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.