Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Foretrace AI research

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Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

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24h volume$40

Total volume$163.5K

Liquidity$12K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds4.8%

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Yes4.8%Polymarket estimate

No95.2%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $12K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 3.6¢ / 6.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:06:12 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.