
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during October 2025 ET: - Federal Open Market Committee pauses - European Central Bank pauses - Bank of Japan pauses Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If no statement is released by the end date of one of the listed next scheduled meetings, it will be assumed that there is no change in rate. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/To+Cut+or+Not+to+Cut+October.pdf
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:53:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.