
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksNevada is holding both a Republican Primary and Republican caucus in 2024, and the state party determined only the caucus will decide the delegate allocation. Haley is the only major candidate on the Primary ballot, and Trump is the only major candidate on the Caucus ballot. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins over 50% of the votes cast in the Nevada Republican Primary, currently scheduled for February 6th, 2024. "Votes cast" includes votes for any candidate as well as votes for "None of these candidates". If no such primary takes place in Nevada in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:03:12 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.