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Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$10.2K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Liu ZhenliClosedMarket odds0%
Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market resolves to the next individual officially announced as a Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) after market creation. If multiple individuals are announced on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the individual who was announced first by an official source. If multiple individuals are officially announced simultaneously as CMC Vice Chairs in the same official document/broadcast, the market will resolve in accordance with the listed order indicated by the official announcement. If no order is indicated the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the individuals listed last name. If no Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) is announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”. The primary resolution sources will be official Chinese state announcements (such as Xinhua bulletins, People’s Daily readouts, etc.) However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.